How did we pick our divisions? Why are we making recommendations in some and not others? Why did we pick that particular candidate?

One-minute read

Our aim with this site is to help people like you, who want to see a brighter, cleaner, greener Oxfordshire, make the most of your vote in county council elections on the 6th May.

We used surveys which asked every candidate in the county about their views on particular policies, and ranked these answers. Then, we mapped the most recent election results that we have – the 2019 district council elections – onto county divisions. We believe this gives us a good indication of which divisions are most closely contested – and which safe, clean, and green candidates are most likely to win in these areas.

This means you will be voting alongside other like-minded people in your area to deliver the change you want to see, overall.

Three-minute read

Our aim with this site is to help people like you, who want to see a brighter, cleaner, greener Oxfordshire, make the most of your vote in country council elections on the 6th May. We have assessed which seats are most closely contested, and we are giving recommendations for a candidate in those seats. These recommendations are based on their policies for a safe, clean, green Oxfordshire, combined with who is most likely to win in that area.

Every candidate in every division across the county was asked to fill out a survey by CoHSAT. This asked their views on various policies. Where more than one candidate gave particularly good answers, or has a track record of showing bold leadership in these areas, we are endorsing the one with the best chance of winning.

We looked at past voting data to work out which candidate is most likely to win. The reason we looked at district council elections is that they are the most recent. They also factor-in Lib Dem – Green cooperation across many parts of Oxfordshire, which wasn’t in place at the 2017 county council elections. Much of this co-operation is being repeated on May 6.

Because the district wards and county divisions have different boundaries, we assessed on a division-by-division basis what percentage of each nearby ward’s voters sit within the division’s boundaries. We took that fraction of each party’s vote in 2019 ward elections and summed these to get a notional divisional total by party. It will be imperfect but it should bring together 2019 results with the 2021 divisions.

Using the data above, we examined which divisions were the most marginal between parties. We sense-checked our results against actual margins from 2017 division elections.

We are not making recommendations in divisions where there is no realistic contest. If you live in one, we suggest voting for the party who most closely aligns with your values.

We have not included polling data because it is not available at the division level.

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